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The season’s first tropical depression could form later today or over the weekend in the Gulf of Mexico’s Bay of Campeche near Mexico. According to the National Hurricane Center, a well-defined low-pressure area was located about 25 miles northeast of Veracruz, Mexico which is giving it a 70% chance that the system will become a tropical depression within the next 48 hours. If it becomes a tropical storm — with sustained winds of 39 mph — it would be named Arthur, the first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.

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