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Three television upstarts and a field of film stars could shake up the annual Primetime Emmy Awards on Monday in a validation of the television industry’s move toward sophisticated, long-form storytelling. Led by HBO’s bayou crime mystery “True Detective,” FX’s snowy psychological miniseries “Fargo” and Netflix’s online-delivered jailhouse comedy “Orange Is the New Black,” a new breed of TV has headed to the top of the establishment class.Tom O’Neil, the editor of awards handicapper Goldderby.

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