Comparing Express (EXPR) and Tilly's (TLYS)

Express (NYSE: EXPR) and Tilly's (NYSE:TLYS) are both small-cap retail/wholesale companies, but which is the superior business? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their valuation, analyst recommendations, risk, profitability, earnings, institutional ownership and dividends.

Insider & Institutional Ownership

99.1% of Express shares are owned by institutional investors. Comparatively, 43.5% of Tilly's shares are owned by institutional investors. 2.6% of Express shares are owned by insiders. Comparatively, 50.1% of Tilly's shares are owned by insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, large money managers and endowments believe a stock will outperform the market over the long term.

Profitability

This table compares Express and Tilly's’ net margins, return on equity and return on assets.

Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets
Express 0.60% 3.85% 2.03%
Tilly's 2.50% 10.19% 6.28%

Risk & Volatility

Express has a beta of 1.55, indicating that its share price is 55% more volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Tilly's has a beta of -0.42, indicating that its share price is 142% less volatile than the S&P 500.

Analyst Ratings

This is a summary of current ratings and price targets for Express and Tilly's, as provided by MarketBeat.

Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score
Express 0 9 0 0 2.00
Tilly's 0 1 2 0 2.67

Express currently has a consensus target price of $9.25, suggesting a potential downside of 4.84%. Tilly's has a consensus target price of $14.00, suggesting a potential downside of 2.71%. Given Tilly's’ stronger consensus rating and higher possible upside, analysts clearly believe Tilly's is more favorable than Express.

Earnings and Valuation

This table compares Express and Tilly's’ revenue, earnings per share and valuation.

Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio
Express $2.19 billion 0.35 $57.41 million $0.16 60.75
Tilly's $568.95 million 0.73 $11.41 million $0.49 29.37

Express has higher revenue and earnings than Tilly's. Tilly's is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Express, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks.

Summary

Tilly's beats Express on 9 of the 14 factors compared between the two stocks.

About Express

Express, Inc. is a specialty apparel and accessories retailer offering both women’s and men’s merchandise. The Company targets women and men between 20 and 30 years old. It offers an assortment of fashionable apparel and accessories to address fashion needs across multiple aspects of lifestyles, including work, casual, jeanswear and going-out occasions. It is engaged in the operation of its brick-and-mortar retail and outlet stores, e-commerce operations and franchise operations. It sells its products through its e-commerce Website, www.express.com and its mobile application, and has franchise agreements with franchisees that operate Express locations in Latin America. It operated 656 stores across the United States, in Canada and in Puerto Rico, including 104 factory outlet stores, as of January 28, 2017. Its products are created by its in-house design team. Its portfolio of apparel products includes brands, such as Portofino shirt, Editor pant and 1MX shirt.

About Tilly's

Tilly’s, Inc. is a destination specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear and accessories for young men, young women, boys and girls. The Company offers an unparalleled selection of relevant brands, styles, colors, sizes and price points. The Company’s apparel merchandise includes branded, fashion and styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms and dresses. Its accessories merchandise includes backpacks, hats, sunglasses, headphones, handbags, watches, jewelry and others. The Company offers its products through stores and Website. The Company operates over 220 stores in approximately 30 states. The Company’s stores are located in malls, lifestyle centers, power centers, community centers, outlet centers and street-front locations. The Company also operates an e-commerce platform for desktop and mobile. The Company’s third-party brands include AYC, Adidas, Billabong, Converse, Hurley, Nixon, JanSport, LRG and Stance, among others.

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