Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) said that Asian stocks may offer returns as high as 36% in terms of the US dollar next year, being helped by emerging markets and earnings growth.
Goldman Sachs regional analyst, Timothy Moe, released a report yesterday saying that the MSCI Asia-Pacific excluding-Japan Index may rise to 540 by next December and the MSCI Asia excluding-Japan Index may rise to 650.
The brokerage is more bullish than two other firms (BNP Paribas and Citigroup) which predicts gains between 9% and 20% for Asian stocks next yaer, according to two reports released today. The brokerage has taken a much more positive tone than a month ago when it had predicted “sluggish” performance for regional markets in 2010 citing slowing economic indicates after a rally from their Marhc lows.
Goldman Sachs predicts that GDP growth in Asia (excluding Japan) will increase by 8.7% next year, lead by China’s expansion. That’s much more than the 4.2% growth rate Goldman Sachs predicts for the global economy.
Earnings for companies on the MSCI Asia-Pacific excluding Japan Index could grow by 34% in 2010, more than the 23% increase that other analysts predicted, according to the new report. Previously, the brokerage had predicted a 22% increase in profits.
Moe and his colleague stated, “Our analysis makes us surprisingly positive on Asian markets for 2010,” He continued, “The growth in emerging-market Asia should attract inflows from low-growth developed markets, providing an uplift to valuations.”
