Q4 EPS Forecast for Arch Capital Group Lowered by Analyst

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ACGL) – Roth Capital reduced their Q4 2025 earnings estimates for shares of Arch Capital Group in a research report issued to clients and investors on Tuesday, December 2nd. Roth Capital analyst H. Fong now expects that the insurance provider will post earnings of $2.41 per share for the quarter, down from their previous forecast of $2.49. Roth Capital has a “Buy” rating and a $110.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for Arch Capital Group’s current full-year earnings is $8.42 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Arch Capital Group’s Q1 2026 earnings at $2.46 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $2.48 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $1.86 EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at $2.69 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $9.50 EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at $2.68 EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at $2.67 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $2.01 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $10.25 EPS.

Arch Capital Group (NASDAQ:ACGL) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Monday, October 27th. The insurance provider reported $2.77 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.76 by $1.01. The business had revenue of $5.11 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.39 billion. Arch Capital Group had a net margin of 20.96% and a return on equity of 16.38%. During the same quarter last year, the firm earned $1.99 EPS.

ACGL has been the topic of several other research reports. Citigroup reaffirmed a “market outperform” rating on shares of Arch Capital Group in a research note on Tuesday, October 28th. The Goldman Sachs Group set a $88.00 price objective on shares of Arch Capital Group and gave the company a “sell” rating in a report on Tuesday, October 14th. Wells Fargo & Company reduced their price objective on shares of Arch Capital Group from $111.00 to $106.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, October 29th. Wolfe Research began coverage on shares of Arch Capital Group in a research report on Monday, September 15th. They issued a “peer perform” rating on the stock. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. lifted their price target on shares of Arch Capital Group from $110.00 to $111.00 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research report on Tuesday, October 28th. Eight research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, seven have assigned a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the stock has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $106.85.

Arch Capital Group Trading Down 0.4%

Shares of Arch Capital Group stock opened at $92.39 on Wednesday. The stock has a 50 day moving average of $90.19 and a 200 day moving average of $90.41. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, a quick ratio of 0.55 and a current ratio of 0.55. The firm has a market capitalization of $33.50 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.64, a PEG ratio of 2.16 and a beta of 0.47. Arch Capital Group has a fifty-two week low of $82.44 and a fifty-two week high of $99.31.

Insider Activity at Arch Capital Group

In other news, CFO Francois Morin sold 8,000 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, November 28th. The shares were sold at an average price of $94.62, for a total value of $756,960.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief financial officer owned 266,681 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $25,233,356.22. This trade represents a 2.91% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Insiders own 4.20% of the company’s stock.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Arch Capital Group

A number of hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in ACGL. WealthCollab LLC increased its position in shares of Arch Capital Group by 410.3% during the third quarter. WealthCollab LLC now owns 296 shares of the insurance provider’s stock worth $27,000 after acquiring an additional 238 shares during the period. JPL Wealth Management LLC purchased a new stake in Arch Capital Group during the 3rd quarter worth about $28,000. Cornerstone Planning Group LLC increased its holdings in Arch Capital Group by 426.0% during the 3rd quarter. Cornerstone Planning Group LLC now owns 384 shares of the insurance provider’s stock worth $33,000 after purchasing an additional 311 shares during the period. Zions Bancorporation National Association UT acquired a new stake in Arch Capital Group in the 1st quarter valued at about $37,000. Finally, Quent Capital LLC purchased a new position in shares of Arch Capital Group in the 3rd quarter valued at about $37,000. 89.07% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

About Arch Capital Group

Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company's Insurance segment offers primary and excess casualty coverages; loss sensitive primary casualty insurance programs; directors' and officers' liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices and fiduciary liability, crime, professional indemnity, and other financial related coverages; medical professional and general liability insurance coverages; and workers' compensation and umbrella liability, as well as commercial automobile and inland marine products.