What is KeyCorp’s Estimate for Timken Q1 Earnings?

Timken Company (The) (NYSE:TKR) – KeyCorp issued their Q1 2026 earnings per share estimates for Timken in a report issued on Sunday, February 8th. KeyCorp analyst S. Barger forecasts that the industrial products company will post earnings of $1.48 per share for the quarter. The consensus estimate for Timken’s current full-year earnings is $5.62 per share. KeyCorp also issued estimates for Timken’s Q2 2026 earnings at $1.67 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $1.51 EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at $1.28 EPS and FY2028 earnings at $7.50 EPS.

Timken (NYSE:TKR) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, February 4th. The industrial products company reported $1.14 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $1.09 by $0.05. The firm had revenue of $1.11 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $1.07 billion. Timken had a return on equity of 11.52% and a net margin of 6.29%.Timken’s revenue was up 3.5% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $1.16 earnings per share. Timken has set its FY 2026 guidance at 5.500-6.000 EPS.

Several other brokerages have also recently issued reports on TKR. Oppenheimer set a $108.00 price objective on Timken in a report on Thursday, February 5th. Morgan Stanley lifted their price target on Timken from $105.00 to $116.00 and gave the stock an “overweight” rating in a research note on Tuesday. JPMorgan Chase & Co. lifted their target price on shares of Timken from $85.00 to $90.00 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a research report on Thursday, February 5th. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “hold (c+)” rating on shares of Timken in a research report on Wednesday, January 21st. Finally, Citigroup raised their price objective on shares of Timken from $105.00 to $115.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, February 5th. Four investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and six have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $93.78.

Timken Price Performance

TKR stock opened at $108.70 on Tuesday. The firm has a 50 day moving average of $91.04 and a 200-day moving average of $81.88. The company has a market cap of $7.57 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.45, a PEG ratio of 1.58 and a beta of 1.21. The company has a current ratio of 2.82, a quick ratio of 1.47 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56. Timken has a 12-month low of $56.20 and a 12-month high of $111.39.

Timken Announces Dividend

The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, December 5th. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, November 25th were issued a dividend of $0.35 per share. This represents a $1.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 1.3%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, November 25th. Timken’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 34.06%.

Insider Buying and Selling at Timken

In related news, Director Richard G. Kyle sold 15,837 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, November 25th. The shares were sold at an average price of $81.03, for a total value of $1,283,272.11. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 266,942 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $21,630,310.26. This represents a 5.60% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available through the SEC website. 8.70% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Timken

Several hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of the company. Mather Group LLC. acquired a new position in Timken during the third quarter worth about $25,000. Gordian Capital Singapore Pte Ltd bought a new stake in shares of Timken in the 4th quarter worth approximately $25,000. Clearstead Advisors LLC lifted its stake in Timken by 130.3% during the fourth quarter. Clearstead Advisors LLC now owns 304 shares of the industrial products company’s stock valued at $26,000 after purchasing an additional 172 shares during the last quarter. Eastern Bank acquired a new position in Timken in the fourth quarter worth approximately $27,000. Finally, SJS Investment Consulting Inc. lifted its position in shares of Timken by 4,512.5% during the 3rd quarter. SJS Investment Consulting Inc. now owns 369 shares of the industrial products company’s stock valued at $28,000 after acquiring an additional 361 shares during the last quarter. 89.08% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Key Timken News

Here are the key news stories impacting Timken this week:

• Positive Sentiment: KeyCorp raised forward earnings assumptions — the firm’s S. Barger published a set of upgraded estimates (Q1–Q4 2026 quarterly forecasts and FY2026 at ~$5.94, FY2027 at ~$6.68 and FY2028 at ~$7.50), implying stronger multi‑year EPS growth versus the current consensus (FY2026/FY2027 beat). This supports higher valuation expectations and likely helped push TKR toward recent highs.
• Positive Sentiment: Morgan Stanley raised its price target to $116 and kept an Overweight rating, implying further upside from current levels; analyst support from a major bank can attract institutional buyers. Morgan Stanley raises PT (Benzinga)
• Positive Sentiment: KeyBanc upgraded Timken, citing an anticipated industrial cycle inflection; the upgrade coincided with the stock climbing to an all‑time/1‑year high as investors priced in improved end‑market demand. KeyBanc upgrade / all‑time high (MSN)
• Positive Sentiment: Increased visibility from Russell 1000 trading and coverage reports has driven elevated volume and attention; index‑related flows and heightened liquidity can amplify moves in either direction. Russell 1000 elevated trading (Kalkine)
• Neutral Sentiment: Coverage roundup and Q4 earnings‑call takeaways: a recent note highlights five analyst questions from Timken’s Q4 call — useful for understanding management’s view on margins, end markets, and guidance cadence but not an immediate catalyst by itself. Analyst questions from Q4 call (MSN)

About Timken

The Timken Company is a global manufacturer specializing in engineered bearings and mechanical power transmission products. Its core offerings include tapered and cylindrical roller bearings, spherical and plain bearings, mounted bearing units, and precision gear drives. Timken’s products serve a broad range of industries, from industrial machinery and aerospace to automotive, rail, wind energy and heavy equipment.

Beyond bearings, Timken’s portfolio extends to industrial chains, belts, couplings and related components designed to optimize power transmission systems.