Cantor Fitzgerald Issues Pessimistic Forecast for BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Stock Price

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) had its price target decreased by stock analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald from $6.00 to $5.00 in a research report issued on Tuesday,Benzinga reports. The firm currently has a “neutral” rating on the stock. Cantor Fitzgerald’s target price points to a potential upside of 30.55% from the company’s current price.

Several other research analysts have also commented on the company. HC Wainwright decreased their target price on BigBear.ai from $8.00 to $6.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Tuesday. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a report on Wednesday, January 21st. Finally, Wall Street Zen downgraded BigBear.ai from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a research note on Saturday, January 10th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat, the stock presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $5.00.

BigBear.ai Stock Performance

Shares of BBAI opened at $3.83 on Tuesday. The firm has a market cap of $1.82 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -3.83 and a beta of 3.49. The company has a quick ratio of 3.13, a current ratio of 1.78 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16. The business’s 50 day moving average is $5.12 and its two-hundred day moving average is $5.88. BigBear.ai has a 52-week low of $2.36 and a 52-week high of $9.39.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) last released its quarterly earnings results on Monday, March 2nd. The company reported ($0.01) earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.05) by $0.04. The business had revenue of $27.30 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $33.31 million. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 230.21% and a negative return on equity of 18.22%. The business’s quarterly revenue was down 37.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter last year, the company earned ($0.43) earnings per share. Analysts forecast that BigBear.ai will post -0.28 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in BBAI. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd raised its position in shares of BigBear.ai by 77.1% during the 4th quarter. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd now owns 13,756 shares of the company’s stock worth $74,000 after buying an additional 5,987 shares in the last quarter. Invesco Ltd. raised its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 56.5% in the 4th quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 250,973 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,355,000 after buying an additional 90,612 shares in the last quarter. State of Tennessee Department of Treasury bought a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai in the 4th quarter worth $149,000. NewEdge Advisors LLC grew its holdings in BigBear.ai by 3.4% during the fourth quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 124,239 shares of the company’s stock worth $671,000 after acquiring an additional 4,073 shares during the period. Finally, VARCOV Co. bought a new stake in BigBear.ai in the fourth quarter worth about $240,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 7.55% of the company’s stock.

Key BigBear.ai News

Here are the key news stories impacting BigBear.ai this week:

• Positive Sentiment: BigBear reported a transformed balance sheet — roughly $462M in cash and marketable securities and a ~90% reduction in debt, which materially reduces refinancing risk and gives the company runway to invest in growth. BigBear.ai Strengthens Balance Sheet
• Positive Sentiment: Strategic acquisitions (Ask Sage, Cargo Seer and others) add FedRAMP-certified capabilities, recurring revenue and government market access — potential catalysts for revenue recovery and higher-margin, repeatable contracts. MarketBeat: Smart Money Buying
• Neutral Sentiment: The company beat EPS expectations modestly (reported -$0.01 vs. est. -$0.05) but missed revenue (Q4 revenue $27.3M vs. estimates ~ $33M) and provided FY2026 revenue guidance ($135M–$165M) below the consensus — a mixed report that explains the swingy market reaction. Earnings Release & Guidance
• Neutral Sentiment: Analyst coverage is thin but active: HC Wainwright remains a buyer with a $6 PT (lowered from $8) while other shops trimmed targets or moved to neutral — showing divergence in expectations and leaving the name sensitive to new research. (See coverage cited in press summaries.)
• Negative Sentiment: Revenue slump: Q4 revenue fell ~37.7% YoY (from $43.8M to $27.3M), largely due to lower Army program volume — a near-term demand headwind for core government-related revenue. Revenues Slump
• Negative Sentiment: Capital raise dilution and prior share issuance expanded the float materially (share count jumped ~75%), which increased short interest and created downside volatility risk if operational recovery is slower than hoped. Dilution & Short Interest
• Negative Sentiment: Sell-side and market reaction: the stock fell sharply on heavy volume after the report (high intraday volatility), reflecting investor concern about near-term revenue and the pace of commercial recovery. Forbes: Stock Drop After Earnings

BigBear.ai Company Profile

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.