Zacks Research Issues Pessimistic Estimate for ACGL Earnings

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:ACGL) – Equities research analysts at Zacks Research decreased their FY2026 earnings estimates for shares of Arch Capital Group in a research note issued on Monday, March 2nd. Zacks Research analyst Team now expects that the insurance provider will earn $9.34 per share for the year, down from their prior estimate of $9.36. The consensus estimate for Arch Capital Group’s current full-year earnings is $8.42 per share. Zacks Research also issued estimates for Arch Capital Group’s Q4 2026 earnings at $2.54 EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at $2.55 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $10.08 EPS.

A number of other research analysts have also issued reports on the stock. Cantor Fitzgerald restated a “neutral” rating and issued a $100.00 target price (up from $97.00) on shares of Arch Capital Group in a report on Tuesday, February 17th. UBS Group reissued a “buy” rating and set a $114.00 price objective (up from $113.00) on shares of Arch Capital Group in a research note on Tuesday, February 17th. Morgan Stanley set a $125.00 target price on shares of Arch Capital Group in a research note on Friday, January 16th. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reiterated a “market perform” rating and issued a $104.00 price target (up from $102.00) on shares of Arch Capital Group in a report on Thursday, February 12th. Finally, Evercore set a $100.00 price objective on Arch Capital Group and gave the stock an “in-line” rating in a report on Wednesday, January 7th. Nine investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eight have given a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, Arch Capital Group currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $109.20.

Arch Capital Group Stock Down 2.1%

Shares of NASDAQ:ACGL opened at $98.42 on Tuesday. The company has a quick ratio of 0.53, a current ratio of 0.53 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13. The company has a market capitalization of $35.02 billion, a P/E ratio of 8.47, a P/E/G ratio of 4.04 and a beta of 0.40. Arch Capital Group has a 52-week low of $82.44 and a 52-week high of $103.39. The stock’s fifty day simple moving average is $96.26 and its 200-day simple moving average is $92.86.

Arch Capital Group (NASDAQ:ACGL) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Monday, February 9th. The insurance provider reported $2.98 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.34 by $0.64. The business had revenue of $4.93 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $3.94 billion. Arch Capital Group had a net margin of 22.07% and a return on equity of 16.73%. During the same period last year, the company posted $2.26 EPS.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Arch Capital Group

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the stock. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. boosted its position in shares of Arch Capital Group by 157.9% in the first quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. now owns 673 shares of the insurance provider’s stock valued at $65,000 after acquiring an additional 412 shares during the period. Sivia Capital Partners LLC acquired a new stake in Arch Capital Group in the 2nd quarter worth $253,000. Atria Investments Inc increased its holdings in shares of Arch Capital Group by 1.3% during the 2nd quarter. Atria Investments Inc now owns 40,446 shares of the insurance provider’s stock worth $3,683,000 after purchasing an additional 523 shares during the period. Simon Quick Advisors LLC raised its position in shares of Arch Capital Group by 15.5% during the second quarter. Simon Quick Advisors LLC now owns 2,750 shares of the insurance provider’s stock valued at $250,000 after buying an additional 370 shares during the last quarter. Finally, TIAA Trust National Association raised its position in shares of Arch Capital Group by 3.1% during the second quarter. TIAA Trust National Association now owns 3,892 shares of the insurance provider’s stock valued at $354,000 after buying an additional 116 shares during the last quarter. 89.07% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In related news, insider John M. Pasquesi sold 8,800 shares of Arch Capital Group stock in a transaction dated Monday, December 15th. The stock was sold at an average price of $94.17, for a total value of $828,696.00. Following the transaction, the insider owned 289,556 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $27,267,488.52. This trade represents a 2.95% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, insider Maamoun Rajeh sold 47,430 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, February 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $96.12, for a total transaction of $4,558,971.60. Following the sale, the insider directly owned 433,589 shares in the company, valued at approximately $41,676,574.68. This trade represents a 9.86% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Insiders have sold 260,096 shares of company stock worth $24,530,685 over the last ninety days. 4.20% of the stock is owned by insiders.

More Arch Capital Group News

Here are the key news stories impacting Arch Capital Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Company reported record 2025 operating income and strong return on equity, reinforcing the quality of earnings and capital generation — this supports the stock’s longer‑term fundamentals. Article Title
• Positive Sentiment: Fund commentary (Baron Growth Fund) cited ACGL’s strong earnings and active capital management as contributors, which helps explain recent upward pressure into earnings and buyback/capital return themes. Article Title
• Neutral Sentiment: Short‑interest reports flagged a “large increase” in short interest but the published figures show 0 shares / NaN changes and a 0.0 days‑to‑cover — this appears to be a data anomaly and is unlikely to be a meaningful driver by itself.
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks Research trimmed several near‑term and medium‑term EPS estimates (small reductions to Q4/Q1 and FY2026–FY2027 forecasts). Even modest cuts can pressure the stock after a prior strong earnings print because they reduce forward growth expectations.

Arch Capital Group Company Profile

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: ACGL) is a Bermuda-based insurance and reinsurance holding company that underwrites a broad range of property and casualty, mortgage, and specialty risk products. The company operates through a group of underwriting subsidiaries and platforms to provide insurance, reinsurance and related risk solutions tailored to commercial, institutional and individual clients.

Arch’s product mix includes treaty and facultative reinsurance, primary casualty and property insurance, mortgage insurance and other specialty lines.