HC Wainwright Forecasts BigBear.ai’s Q1 Earnings (NYSE:BBAI)

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) – Investment analysts at HC Wainwright issued their Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for shares of BigBear.ai in a research report issued to clients and investors on Tuesday, March 3rd. HC Wainwright analyst S. Buck expects that the company will earn ($0.05) per share for the quarter. HC Wainwright currently has a “Buy” rating and a $6.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for BigBear.ai’s current full-year earnings is ($0.28) per share. HC Wainwright also issued estimates for BigBear.ai’s Q2 2026 earnings at ($0.05) EPS and FY2027 earnings at ($0.19) EPS.

Other analysts also recently issued reports about the stock. Wall Street Zen downgraded shares of BigBear.ai from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a research report on Saturday, January 10th. Cantor Fitzgerald cut their price objective on shares of BigBear.ai from $6.00 to $5.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a report on Tuesday. Finally, Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research note on Wednesday, January 21st. One analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat.com, BigBear.ai currently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $5.00.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

BBAI opened at $4.04 on Wednesday. The company has a current ratio of 1.78, a quick ratio of 3.13 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16. The company has a market cap of $1.92 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -4.04 and a beta of 3.49. The stock has a fifty day simple moving average of $5.08 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $5.86. BigBear.ai has a 12-month low of $2.36 and a 12-month high of $9.39.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) last released its earnings results on Monday, March 2nd. The company reported ($0.01) EPS for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.05) by $0.04. BigBear.ai had a negative return on equity of 18.22% and a negative net margin of 230.21%.The company had revenue of $27.30 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $33.31 million. During the same quarter last year, the business posted ($0.43) EPS. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was down 37.7% compared to the same quarter last year.

Institutional Trading of BigBear.ai

A number of institutional investors and hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the company. CWM LLC lifted its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 237.5% in the third quarter. CWM LLC now owns 4,640 shares of the company’s stock worth $30,000 after buying an additional 3,265 shares in the last quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. lifted its position in BigBear.ai by 3,355.6% in the 3rd quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. now owns 4,976 shares of the company’s stock valued at $32,000 after acquiring an additional 4,832 shares in the last quarter. Root Financial Partners LLC boosted its stake in BigBear.ai by 617.5% during the 4th quarter. Root Financial Partners LLC now owns 5,381 shares of the company’s stock valued at $29,000 after purchasing an additional 4,631 shares during the last quarter. PNC Financial Services Group Inc. increased its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 150.9% in the 4th quarter. PNC Financial Services Group Inc. now owns 5,640 shares of the company’s stock worth $30,000 after purchasing an additional 3,392 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Nisa Investment Advisors LLC increased its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 68.4% in the 2nd quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 6,222 shares of the company’s stock worth $42,000 after purchasing an additional 2,527 shares in the last quarter. 7.55% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Key Stories Impacting BigBear.ai

Here are the key news stories impacting BigBear.ai this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Company reported a large cash build and dramatic debt reduction (reported $462M cash & investments and ~90% debt cut), improving near-term solvency and reducing near-term financing risk. BigBear.ai Strengthens Balance Sheet
• Positive Sentiment: Strategic acquisitions (Ask Sage, Cargo Seer) add FedRAMP access, recurring revenue potential and border-control/computer-vision capabilities that support longer-term government contract growth. MarketBeat: Smart Money Buying
• Positive Sentiment: Some analysts raised near-term estimates or maintained bullish views: Northland nudged several FY/Q estimates modestly higher, and HC Wainwright still carries a Buy rating with a $6 target — evidence of at least some street confidence in recovery potential. HC Wainwright Note
• Neutral Sentiment: Institutional accumulation and reduced short seller headwinds were flagged by market commentary — could support rallies but also leaves the stock vulnerable to volatile squeezes. MarketBeat Institutional Notes
• Neutral Sentiment: Analyst model churn: some firms trimmed FY estimates while keeping higher price targets, producing mixed bench of guidance changes rather than a clear consensus. Forbes: What’s Happening With BBAI
• Negative Sentiment: Q4 revenue missed expectations sharply — $27.3M vs. ~$33.3M consensus and a ~37.7% YoY decline — driven by lower Army program volume; investors sold on the top-line miss despite an EPS beat. Yahoo Finance: Revenues Slump
• Negative Sentiment: Analyst downgrades and pessimistic forecasts (Cantor Fitzgerald and others) amplified the sell-off and increased near-term downside risk; coverage remains thin and mixed. Cantor Fitzgerald Forecast Trading Down After Downgrade
• Negative Sentiment: Valuation and execution doubts remain: some analysts and commentary (Seeking Alpha) argue the stock still trades at a premium to achievable fundamentals, keeping upside conditional on revenue recovery and contract execution. Seeking Alpha: Remains Expensive

BigBear.ai Company Profile

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.