Scotiabank Issues Pessimistic Estimate for Mosaic Earnings

The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) – Research analysts at Scotiabank reduced their FY2026 earnings estimates for Mosaic in a research note issued to investors on Monday, March 2nd. Scotiabank analyst B. Isaacson now forecasts that the basic materials company will post earnings per share of $1.79 for the year, down from their prior forecast of $2.49. Scotiabank has a “Sector Outperform” rating and a $35.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for Mosaic’s current full-year earnings is $2.04 per share. Scotiabank also issued estimates for Mosaic’s FY2027 earnings at $2.71 EPS.

Other equities analysts have also recently issued reports about the company. JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut Mosaic from a “neutral” rating to an “underweight” rating and set a $24.00 price target for the company. in a research report on Thursday, February 26th. Morgan Stanley cut their target price on Mosaic from $35.00 to $28.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday, February 26th. Wells Fargo & Company reduced their target price on Mosaic from $28.00 to $27.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a report on Friday, January 23rd. Wall Street Zen cut Mosaic from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a research report on Saturday. Finally, Weiss Ratings downgraded shares of Mosaic from a “hold (c-)” rating to a “sell (d+)” rating in a report on Monday. Six research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, ten have issued a Hold rating and two have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the company currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $30.94.

Mosaic Trading Up 0.1%

Shares of MOS stock opened at $26.30 on Thursday. The stock has a market capitalization of $8.35 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.56, a PEG ratio of 1.54 and a beta of 0.95. The company’s fifty day simple moving average is $27.45 and its two-hundred day simple moving average is $28.55. Mosaic has a 1 year low of $22.36 and a 1 year high of $38.23. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, a current ratio of 1.32 and a quick ratio of 0.47.

Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, February 24th. The basic materials company reported $0.22 EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.48 by ($0.26). Mosaic had a net margin of 4.49% and a return on equity of 5.80%. The business had revenue of $2.97 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $3.02 billion. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company posted $0.45 earnings per share. The business’s quarterly revenue was up 5.6% compared to the same quarter last year.

Mosaic Announces Dividend

The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, June 2nd. Stockholders of record on Thursday, May 21st will be issued a dividend of $0.22 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Thursday, May 21st. This represents a $0.88 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 3.3%. Mosaic’s payout ratio is presently 52.07%.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Mosaic

Institutional investors and hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the stock. First Horizon Advisors Inc. increased its holdings in shares of Mosaic by 172.5% in the 2nd quarter. First Horizon Advisors Inc. now owns 684 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $25,000 after buying an additional 433 shares during the last quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of Mosaic by 169.3% during the 1st quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. now owns 956 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $26,000 after acquiring an additional 601 shares during the last quarter. Rothschild Investment LLC grew its position in Mosaic by 650.0% in the second quarter. Rothschild Investment LLC now owns 750 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $27,000 after acquiring an additional 650 shares in the last quarter. Rexford Capital Inc. purchased a new position in Mosaic in the second quarter worth $28,000. Finally, True Wealth Design LLC increased its stake in Mosaic by 1,819.0% in the third quarter. True Wealth Design LLC now owns 806 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $28,000 after acquiring an additional 764 shares during the last quarter. 77.54% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Trending Headlines about Mosaic

Here are the key news stories impacting Mosaic this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.22 per share (annualized yield ~3.3%); record date May 21 and payable June 2 — supports the stock’s income profile and can attract yield-focused investors. Mosaic Announces Quarterly Dividend of $0.22 Per Share
• Positive Sentiment: Unusually large call-option buying (26,164 calls, ~136% above normal) was reported — suggests elevated bullish positioning by traders which can lift near-term volatility and signal positive sentiment or speculative interest. (No direct article link provided)
• Neutral Sentiment: Scotiabank trimmed FY2026 and FY2027 EPS forecasts (FY26: down to $1.79; FY27: to $2.71) but retained a Sector Outperform stance and a $35 price target — lowers forward earnings expectations (pressure) but the analyst still views upside vs. consensus. (Market research note)
• Negative Sentiment: Shareholder litigation risk: Johnson Fistel announced an investigation into Mosaic’s officers and directors for potential breaches of fiduciary duty — raises the possibility of governance scrutiny, shareholder claims or distractions that could weigh on sentiment and add legal costs. Johnson Fistel Investigates The Mosaic Company (NYSE: MOS) Directors and Officers for Potential Breaches of Fiduciary Duty
• Negative Sentiment: Barclays downgraded MOS to Equal Weight from Overweight, citing geopolitical tensions (U.S./Israel strikes on Iran) that could raise ammonia and other input costs — a catalyst for higher operating costs and margin pressure despite an unchanged $31 price target. Mosaic (MOS) Downgraded by Barclays as Geopolitical Tensions Raise Cost Risks

About Mosaic

Mosaic Co is one of the world’s leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company’s primary business activities center on the extraction, processing and distribution of phosphate rock, phosphate-based fertilizers and potash products. These core nutrients are essential components in modern agriculture, supporting crop yields and soil health across a range of farming applications.

In its phosphate segment, Mosaic operates mining and production facilities that convert phosphate rock into concentrated phosphates, finished phosphate fertilizers and feed phosphates for animal nutrition.